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Resources

Below is a list of references used in the description of the scenarios and development of the models.

A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research: The Concept of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. O’Neill et al. 2014. Climatic Change 122(3):387–400. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2.

A spatial population downscaling model for integrated human-environment analysis in the United States. Zoraghein, H. and O’Neill, B.C. 2020. Demographic Research 43:1563–1606. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26967851

Data Supplement: U.S. State-Level Projections of the Spatial Distribution of
Population Consistent with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. (Version v0.1.0) [Data set].
Zoraghein, H. and O’Neill, B. C. 2020.

 Global Urbanization Projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Jiang, L. and O’Neill, B.C. 2017. Global Environmental Change 42:193–199. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.03.008.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Sixth Assessment Report. 2021. United Nations.

Internal Consistency of Demographic Assumptions in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Jiang, L. 2014. Population and Environment 35:261–285. doi: 10.1007/s11111-014-0206-3.

Population Scenarios for U.S. states Consistent with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Jiang et al. 2020. Environmental Research Letters 15(9). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aba5b1.

Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Database. Hosted by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA).

Spatially Explicit Global Population Scenarios Consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Jones, B. and O’Neill, B.C. 2016. Environmental Research Letters 11(8). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/084003.

The Improved Urbanization Projections of the NCAR Community Demographic Model (CDM). Zoraghein, H. and Jiang, L. 2018. No. NCAR/TN-548+STR. doi:10.5065/D6WS8S2C

The Need for and Use of Socio-economic Scenarios for Climate Change Analysis: A New Approach Based on Shared Socio-Economic Pathways. Kriegler, E. et al. 2012. Global Environmental Change, 22(4), 807–822.

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Their Energy, Land Use, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Implications: An Overview. Riahi et al. 2017. Global Environmental Change 42:153–168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

U.S. State-level Projections of the Spatial Distribution of Population Consistent with Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Zoraghein, H. and O’Neill, B.C. 2020. Sustainability 12(8):3374. doi:10.3390/SU12083374.

World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision, Methodology. United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. 2018. Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP.252.

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The Community Demographic Model (CDM) is a project of Population, Environmental Risks, and the Climate Crisis (PERCC), an initiative of the Population Council. PERCC investigates the complex interactions and dynamics between people and their environment and helps to ensure that climate programs and policies are inclusive and rooted in the principles of equity.

 

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